China's Initial Reaction to BrexitMost Chinese reporting on the Brexit has been factual and dispassionate. Analyses are appearing however, that shed light on China’s interests and concerns in Europe and its beliefs about the historical meaning of the U.K.’s decision and its implications for the balance of power. The Consensus Network (June 24, 2016), a liberal-leaning, independent website, focused on the implications for the internationalization of China’s currency. China will be both harmed and helped by Brexit. On the plus side, if the U.K. leaves the EU, the geo-economic landscape will face restructuring and an independent England will have even greater need for foreign investment, which may provide enhanced opportunity for Chinese investment. The downside is that, because London is the largest offshore renminbi trading center, Brexit will affect the stability and internationalization of the renminbi. 总体来看,英国退欧对于中国而言利弊并存。有利的方面是, The Global Times (June 24, 2016) a Party-run newspaper, adopted a tone of qualified triumphalism and questioned the wisdom of using a democracy to settle the question. The center of the world was once in the Atlantic, with its most developed components, the U.S. and the U.K, located on either side. Today, as East Asia has developed and flourished rapidly over recent decades the center of gravity has moved to the Pacific. Europe has not progressed; it has become the world’s museum and tourist destination, and it has a few decent school districts.…These changes will benefit the United States the most. The direct result of the referendum is that the USD loses a rival currency, allowing America to more easily exert political control over the European Union. This has no direct adverse political impact on Russia or China. The dollar’s appreciation against the Euro and Pound sterling will put downward pressure on the RMB, but only in the short term. In terms of Chinese society, we have arrived at a critical period where we need to understand the big questions for globalization and democracy. England is representative of Western democracy, What will be the result of its embrace of the referendum—the “highest form” of democracy—to decide this question? That is angle from with Chinese observers will continue to observe developments. 世界的重心原来在大西洋,它的两侧分别是最发达的北美和欧洲。 这个变化对美国最为有利, 对中国社会来说, 来源:http://www.wilsoncenter.org |
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